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Aresty Summer Science
Analyzing Tariff Effects on New Jersey’s Blueberry Growers.
Project Summary
This project examines how foreign tariffs have influenced the New Jersey blueberry industry between selected years from 2000 to 2025. Blueberries are one of New Jersey’s major specialty crops, and the state consistently ranks among the top blueberry-producing regions in the United States. During this period, tariffs imposed by international markets, particularly in Canada and Europe, affected U.S. agricultural exports. The goal of the analysis is to review five benchmark years to determine how changes in foreign trade policies potentially impacted blueberry exports, market prices, and farmer income in New Jersey.

The assignment requires gathering data on production, prices, and export volumes, and identifying key tariff-related events affecting blueberries. Using government sources such as the USDA, New Jersey Department of Agriculture, and U.S. Census trade data, the group will investigate whether tariffs led to shifts in export levels, local market prices, and competitiveness. The project emphasizes cause-and-effect relationships to conclude whether foreign tariffs were ultimately beneficial or harmful to New Jersey’s blueberry industry. We will use a comparative time-series analysis to examine blueberry production, export levels, and pricing in New Jersey across selected years. Secondary/primary data from the USDA, NJ Department of Agriculture, Census trade data, and World Bank WITS will be used to evaluate the effects of foreign tariffs on U.S. blueberry exports. Trends will be analyzed to assess whether tariff changes led to measurable impacts on export volumes, farmer income, and market prices. Graphs and tables will be included to support findings.



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